Stupid Or Lying: An Analytic Case Study

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Above: Noel Sheppard


Hey, let’s see what new pot of foolishness they’ve got cooking over at Newsbusters:

Will Media Ignore Harsh Winter of 2008 to Preserve Global Warming Myth?
By Noel Sheppard | February 25, 2008 – 12:43 ET

As people that actually pay attention to weather are aware, the winter in the Northern Hemisphere this year is following the same pattern as last year’s extraordinarily frigid conditions in the Southern Hemisphere.

In fact, all kinds of cold and snow-related records are occurring all over the supposedly warming planet this winter despite continued claims by climate alarmists that the world will come to an end if we all don’t immediately reduce our emissions of that awful — naturally occurring and necessary for most life on earth! — gas, carbon dioxide.

Makes one wonder how climate alarmists will spin the winter of 2008 so as to keep alive their precious global warming myth. Fortunately, as NewsBusters has reported for many months, foreign press outlets are much more honest with their citizens than America’s, as observed in this fabulous article in the Canadian National Post Monday[.]

Huh. That doesn’t seem quite right. Let’s look at the fabulous article — or, rather, opinion column — in Canada’s right-wing National Post:

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Above: Lorne Gunter


Forget global warming: Welcome to the new Ice Age
Lorne Gunter, National Post
Published: Monday, February 25, 2008

Snow cover over North America and much of Siberia, Mongolia and China is greater than at any time since 1966.

The U.S. National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) reported that many American cities and towns suffered record cold temperatures in January and early February. According to the NCDC, the average temperature in January “was -0.3 F cooler than the 1901-2000 (20th century) average.”

[…]

And remember the Arctic Sea ice? The ice we were told so hysterically last fall had melted to its “lowest levels on record? Never mind that those records only date back as far as 1972 and that there is anthropological and geological evidence of much greater melts in the past.

The ice is back.

Gilles Langis, a senior forecaster with the Canadian Ice Service in Ottawa, says the Arctic winter has been so severe the ice has not only recovered, it is actually 10 to 20 cm thicker in many places than at this time last year.

OK, so one winter does not a climate make. It would be premature to claim an Ice Age is looming just because we have had one of our most brutal winters in decades.

But if environmentalists and environment reporters can run around shrieking about the manmade destruction of the natural order every time a robin shows up on Georgian Bay two weeks early, then it is at least fair game to use this winter’s weather stories to wonder whether the alarmist are being a tad premature.

Hmm. Okay, let’s look at the report by the National Climatic Data Center.

Damn, wait a second: Sheppard only linked to Gunter, and Gunter didn’t link to the report. What shall we do?

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[Zeerp] “Hello, dum-dums.”

Oh Great Gazoogle, just like Noel Sheppard of Newsbusters, we are apparently confounded in the task of checking and citing this source without a link. How can we… Oh wait, what’s this?

Climate of 2007 – in Historical Perspective
Annual Report
National Climatic Data Center
15 January 2008

The year 2007 the 10th warmest year for the contiguous U.S., since national records began in 1895, according to preliminary data from NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center in Asheville, N.C. The year was marked by exceptional drought in the U.S. Southeast and the West, which helped fuel another extremely active wildfire season. The year also brought outbreaks of cold air, and killer heat waves and floods. Meanwhile, the global surface temperature for 2007 was the fifth warmest since records began in 1880.

[…]

The greatest warming has taken place in high latitude regions of the Northern Hemisphere. Anomalous warmth in 2007 contributed to the lowest Arctic sea ice extent since satellite records began in 1979, surpassing the previous record low set in 2005 by a remarkable 23 percent. According to the National Snow and Ice Data Center, this is part of a continuing trend in end-of-summer Arctic sea ice extent reductions of approximately 10 percent per decade since 1979.

Analysis:

guntershepard.jpg


Note: With Sheppard, as with John Hinderaker, ‘mistakes’ and points of ignorance nearly always work in his argument’s favor. Thus, ‘stupid’ and ‘shrewd’ may enjoy a complex and non-exclusive relationship. Gunter, we don’t know about — but a conservative has to be pretty slovenly indeed, in this Internet age of ours, to write a column pretending that a publicly-viewable document says the opposite of what it actually says, while not even bothering to confound the issue, attack the messenger, or twist common English terms of fact into tortured balloon-animals.

It’s almost charming in its naiveté. We sort of like the guy.

Add’l note: His sea ice quote comes from here, btw. Here’s what the guy actually said:

The cold is also making the ice thicker in some areas, compared to recorded thicknesses last year, Lagnis added.

“The ice is about 10 to 20 centimetres thicker than last year, so that’s a significant increase,” he said.

If temperatures remain cold this winter, Lagnis said winter sea ice coverage will continue to expand.

But he added that it’s too soon to say what impact this winter will have on the Arctic summer sea ice, which reached its lowest coverage ever recorded in the summer of 2007.

Maybe Gunter belongs in the Stupid quadrant after all; the distinction between ‘summer’ and ‘winter’ seems genuinely to be confounding him.

Update: Yes, no, I’m sorry; we were wrong. He’s actually Stupid and Feckless.

This is the National Climatic Data Center document he used as his source. Yes, that’s the entire thing.

Our analysis is ruined, alas, due to experimenter error. We’ll try again soon with better methodology, including appropriate positive and negative controls.


[Great thanx to J— and Sagra]

 

A Very Special Episode Of Confederate Yankee

Obama Lies

[…]

In the clip above, everything Barack Obama said was a lie… probably including the part where he said he spoke with an Army Captain (has anyone checked to seek if Deval Patrick spoke with Jesse McBeth?).

Barack Obama is a liar. He (or someone he plagiarized) simply made the tale up out of the whole cloth.

Barack Obama is a rube. Anyone with any sense of how the military works at all would immediately sniff this out as a series of false stories. Perhaps Barack Obama, the man who would be Commander in Cheif, is so ignorant of all matters military that he could be easily fooled by a fraud.

Neither possibility says anything good about Obama.

Update: Over at ABC News Blog , Political Punch, Jake Tapper gets in touch with the officer in question and states that Obama’s claim was therefore true.

Uh, no.

You know, this is a coveted and hard-contested award, as it were, but Confederate Yankee is starting to seem like the Falling Baker of the right-wing opinion media:


Above: “One… Fictitious… Iraqi police captain…” *

Except, of course, each time he tumbles to the ground in a hail of smashed confectionery, it’s someone else who gets smeared.


Bonus fun: A classic Confederate Yankee drama in three episodes:

Episode One: “Fake… Iranian… Photograph!”

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More Fauxtography

You would think that after the downfall of Adnan Hajj that the professional media would have developed a sharper eye for noticing crudely PhotoShopped photographs, but even though Charles Johnson and others debunked a crude Iranian PhotoShop purporting to show U.S. munitions being used to subvert the government of Iran over the weekend, it didn’t keep the ever-gullible L.A. Times from running the photo today.

Here’s the thing: The Winchester USA brand ammunition I’m familiar with (I sell it in multiple calibers) doesn’t look anything like the box on the photo.

[…]

Is it reasonable for the photo editors of national news organizations to do some rudimentary checking to make sure pictures they publish aren’t crudely PhotoShopped propaganda? You would think so, as that would seem to cut to the heart of their job responsibilities these days where image manipulation is now available to the masses.

Episode Two: Slipping On The Stairs

Update: YNET is now running with the story, and a reader states in the comments that the ammunition boxes shown in the Iranian story appears to be Winchester USA commericial (civilian) ammunition boxes from approximately 20 years ago.

Some smoking gun.

Episode Three: A New Hope

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Update: It looks like we can pin down the date of manufacture to circa 1993.

That spring, says reader Robert Miller, is when he got this Winchester USA 9mm ammunition that shows packaging indistinguishable from that used in the Iranian photo (nice background, Robert). The Iranians are claiming we’re supplying their insurgency with economy civilian practice ammunition made about 14 years ago.

I’m less than impressed.
 

 

 

Plus, how do we know that the box wasn’t partially empty, or even totally empty? Besides, do we have any proof at all that the alleged box wasn’t forged by Iran? Also, even if it is a real box (a claim for which there is no evidence), who can say that some Iranian agent didn’t just buy it at a gun shop in America, fourteen or fewer years ago?

On the other hand, perhaps it is simply just a better and more accurate Photoshop than previously assumed — which gives even greater credit to the right-wing bloggers who spotted it.

I must say that I’m less than impressed. Each new question only casts further doubt on the credibility of the terrorist-supporting liberal media, to whom I am once again drafting a letter demanding the immediate resignation of all who publish fake Jihadi terror propaganda photographs, of which this so-called “ammunition box” is but one small example.

…For what — I say, what — does it say about the liberal media that they would be suspected of such a crude and blatant forgery? (Riddle me that, Geraldo!)


* cf.

 

Huston Hears A Hoot

Knock-knock.

Who’s there?

ABOVE: And this was scarcely odd,
because he’d eaten every one.*


Interrupting walrus.

Interrup…

Sci. American uses all anti-Republican examples to show ‘how media messes with your mind’
Warner Todd Huston
February 22, 2008

This report by Scientific American is a hoot for its blatant hypocrisy.

…ting walrus who?

Oh man, we totally fell for that.

 

Shorter Roger L. Simon

Bobby Kennedy and Why Obama Unnerves Me

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  • Both Bobby Kennedy and Barack Obama let people speak Mexican at their campaign rallies, which made me feel like I was in some crappy little village in Mexico, eating greasy goat burritos and listening to someone running for caudillo.

‘Shorter’ concept created by Daniel Davies and perfected by Elton Beard.


 

Two-Minute Townhall

Shorter Bill O’Reilly: While virtuous rightwingers justly denounced Michelle Obama, hateful leftwing internet haters left hateful comments at the HuffPost about poor lil ol’ Nancy Reagan.

Shorter John Andrews: Hahaha, Obama’s surge has had the effect of cutting the Clintons down to the level of that hick Mike Huckabee, and I bet that really ticks them off with their high-falutin, blue-nose [grumble grumble]…

Shorter Wayne Winegarden: The world would be better served if Bill Gates went back to talking like a soulless robber baron.

Shorter Kathryn Jean Lopez: If John McCain is to defeat Barack Obama, he must realize that his present level of war-mongering is not enough; it’s time for McCain to consult Rudy.

Shorter Diana West: People must understand that we’re not at war with some tiny lunatic fringe; we are at war with one billion Muslims.

Shorter Michael Barone: Hey, some people are running for president.

Shorter Rich Tucker: What does the government do well? Umm, ummm… well, it, through the armed forces, can kill many people in distant lands… which is wonderful, but everything else should be left to the private sector.

Shorter Jon Sanders: If you replace the words “hope” and “change” in Barack Obama’s speeches with the words “peanut butter,” it doesn’t make sense, which by rules of logical rhetoric I’ve just pulled from my ass proves that Obama’s a bullshit artist.

Shorter Charles Krauthammer: Victory in Iraq is now assured, but beware the Democratic dolchstoss.

Shorter Mona Charen: When a U.S. missile knocked a satellite out of the sky on Feb. 20th, arms control wonks were shown to be traitors, a message was sent to the Chinese, and Ronald Reagan was vindicated. So take that, Ted Koppel.

Shorter Brent Bozell: Where the Dove Foundation rewards the virtuous, Oscar voters — effete, America-hating snobs — reward the wicked.

Shorter Kathleen Parker: Is it any wonder in a culture which has turned its back on religion and family and embraced narcissism, that a cynical ersatz-Redeemer like Barack Obama has exploited formerly wholesome sentiments?

Shorter Linda Chavez: True patriots are ‘my country, right or wrong…’ conservative types. Then there are awful liberals like Michelle Obama who actually want America to conform to its ideals — who, in short, hate America as it is.

Shorter George F. Will: It is axiomatic that when you saw my headline referencing a “four-letter F-word” and then saw the verb “wafting” in the text below, you immediately thought of something other than the word “fair,” which I go on to accuse Hillary of whining about.

Shorter Michael Reagan: Death to the commie, traitor, terrorist-loving New York Times.

Shorter Hugh Hewitt: A terrorist attack would surely save us from a boring tit-for-tat presidential campaign by exposing Barack Obama’s utter lack of credentials for the office — not that I’m wishing for that or anything.

 

Ruberry Ducky, Joy of Joys!

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ABOVE: Phyllis Schlafly (left) and John “Marathon Pundit” Ruberry (right)

John Ruberry got his feelings hurt when we made fun of his ridiculous post on how Obama is a terrorist because he sat on a community fund board with Bill Ayers, a former Weatherman. And just to show us how stupid we are he’s been looking for more connections between Obama and Ayers. And he thinks he has it — Obama once went to Ayers’ house:

It turns out I was not grasping at straws. …

In 1995, State Senator Alice Palmer introduced her chosen successor, Barack Obama, to a few of the district’s influential liberals at the home of two well known figures on the local left: William Ayers and Bernardine Dohrn.

OMFG. He was once at Ayers’s house! I’ll bet that he and Bernadine traded bomb recipes in the kitchen while no one was looking! And he’s making that bomb right now, and he’s gonna throw it at John McCain, and win the White House, and turn it into a Code Pink safe house, where they’ll spend all day making bombs and blowing up stuff.

Next week, Ruberry will reveal that Obama also stood next to Ayers at a urinal in an Irish bar on the south side of Chicago.

Brad adds: OK, this does it. I’ve officially had it with the Clintons:

The Hillary Clinton campaign pushed to reporters today stories about Barack Obama and his ties to former members of a radical domestic terrorist group — but did not note that as president, Clinton’s husband pardoned more than a dozen convicted violent radicals, including a member of the same group mentioned in the Obama stories.

Guys, you’re breaking Rule Numero Uno of running for office as Democrat: you’re feeding into wingnut talking points. Hell, I wouldn’t be surprised in the very least if the Clinton camp was responsible for the “Obama-is-a-crazy-Muslim” emails that have been floating around. I am very, very tempted to not vote for Hillary if she comes back and wins the nomination. Extraordinarily tempted.

 

Shorter Tom Maguire

Subterranean Obama Blues

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Above: Conclusive proof that Maguire is a communist sympathizer

  • Although I am enraged that the New York Times would print second-hand rumors about John McCain having an affair, I think this paper-thin Politico article conclusively proves that Barack Obama is a terrorist sympathizer.

‘Shorter’ concept created by Daniel Davies and perfected by Elton Beard.


UPDATE: Just to be clear, I think there is a lot to criticize in how the Times reported the charges of infidelity against McCain. If you’d like to read some smart criticism of the Times that doesn’t include the bizarre “Obama-is-a-stealth-candidate-for-terrorists” moon-bayings of Tom Maguire, I recommend checking out Greg Sargent.

 

Credit where she be due

When Mike Kinsley isn’t being an annoying contrarian-for-the-sake-of-contrarianism, he can be pretty good. This is one of his better efforts:

Imagine that you had been told in 2003 that when George W. Bush finished his second term, dozens of American soldiers and hundreds of Iraqis would be dying violently every month; that a major American goal would be getting the Iraqi government to temper its “debaathification” campaign so that Saddam Hussein’s former henchmen could start running things again (because they know how); and that “only” 100,000 American troops would be needed to sustain this equilibrium.

You might have several words to describe this situation, but “success” would not be one of them.

Too true. Besides, if Bush had tried employing our bear-and-puma strategy, he could have had violence in Iraq down to practically nothing.*

*If only because no one would be left alive.

 

What will happen if Hussein Obama X becomes the Grand People’s Commissar

Meet the futures Secretary of State, Secretary of Defense and Attorney General in our war to make white dudes turn gay and submit to Sharia law:

White people, you are so toast.

[Thanks to Patkin for reminding me how awesome this movie is.]

 

Shorter John Derbyshire

Obama, Dem Disaster?

  • Man, imagine what it’d be like if Obama was such a crappy president that every white liberal got freaked out and decided to join the Republicans, thus leaving Obama’s apparently unthinking mass of black followers completely isolated and angry and ready to start a race war and… I mean, that’d be pretty tragic, I think, and shows why black people should vote for someone like Alan Keyes instead.

‘Shorter’ concept created by Daniel Davies and perfected by Elton Beard.


UPDATE: It looks like Derb could be onto something after all:

During the Democratic primary campaign, the junior senator from Illinois has been hit repeatedly by virulent viral emails pushing false claims like these. The latest: Obama, due to his Muslim background, secretly favors Palestinians over Israelis. […]

The email goes on to note that Obama sounds “a GREAT DEAL like Malcolm X.” It asks, “Instead of the ‘Manchurian Candidate,’ is Obama the secret ‘Farrakan Candidate'”? It then seeks to explain his purported anti-Israel bias:

Will Barrack’s [sic] Muslim roots cause him to favor the Palestinians against Israel?

Because he’s a “person of color,” will Obama be more sympathetic to 3rd World Peoples’ struggles in that they have “darker skin” like him?

Does Obama distrust the lighter-skinned, more “European”-looking Israelis and tend to favor the “darker complexioned” Palestinians and other Arabs (al Qaeada? [sic]) because his Muslim African father and cousins? […]

Will his election in America temper or EMBOLDEN the 3rd World Terrorist Groups he physically resembles around the world?

As the world’s whitest black revolutionary, the prospect of kicking whitey’s sorry little ass back to West Crackerville under the guidance of Supreme Commander Hussein Obama X excites the hell out of me. What say the rest of you?